This is a self-archived – parallel published version of this article in the publication archive of the University of Vaasa. It might differ from the original. The Valuation of European Option Under Subdiffusive Fractional Brownian Motion of the Short Rate Author(s): Shokrollahi, Foad Title: The Valuation of European Option Under Subdiffusive Fractional Brownian Motion of the Short Rate Year: 2020 Version: Accepted manuscript Copyright © World Scientific Publishing Company, https://www.worldscientific.com/worldscinet/ijtaf. Electronic version of an article published as International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 23(4), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219024920500223 Please cite the original version: Shokrollahi, F. (2020). The Valuation of European Option Under Subdiffusive Fractional Brownian Motion of the Short Rate. International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance 23(4), 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219024920500223 https://www.worldscientific.com/worldscinet/ijtaf THE VALUATION OF EUROPEAN OPTION UNDER SUBDIFFUSIVE FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION MECHANISM OF THE SHORT RATE FOAD SHOKROLLAHI Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Vaasa, P.O. Box 700, FIN-65101 Vaasa, FINLAND Abstract. In this paper we propose an extension of the Merton model. We apply the subdiffusive mechanism to analyze European option in a fractional Black-Scholes environment, when the short rate follows the subdiffusive fracti- onal Black-Scholes model. We derive a pricing formula for call and put options and discuss the corresponding fractional Black-Scholes equation. We present some features of our model pricing model for the cases of α and H . 1. Introduction The pioneer study of the option pricing was introduced by Black-Scholes [1] in 1973. In the Black-Scholes (BS) model has been assumed that the underlying as- sets follows a geometric Broawinian motion. While, there exist a series of evidence which show the BS model unable to cover substantial behavior from financial markets such as: long-range dependence, heavy-tailed and periods of constant va- lues. Hence, they proposed various modifications of the BS model to capture these shortcomings. One of well developed modifications of the BS model is the fractional Black- Scholes model which, describes long-range dependence and self-similarity from fi- nancial data. In the fractional Black-Scholes (FBS) model, the Brownian motion is substituted with the fractional Brownian motion (FBM) in the BS model. For more details about fractional Black-Scholes model, you can see [16, 14, 2, 13]. Furthermore, analysis of financial data displays that various processes viewed in finance show special terms in which they are constant [8]. The same property is observed in physical system with subduffusion. The fixed terms of financial processes according to the trapping event in which the subdiffusive examination particle is constant [4]. The mathematical interpretation of subdiffusion is in terms of Fractional Fokker Planck equation (FFPE). This equation was introduced from the continuous time random walk strategy with fat tail waiting times [12], later used as a substantial tool to evaluate complex system with slow dynamics. In this paper, we use the FBS model in subdiffusive mechanism to better describe E-mail address: foad.shokrollahi@uva.fi. Date: April 15, 2019. 2010 Mathematics Subject Classification. 91G20; 91G80; 60G22. Key words and phrases. Merton short rate model; Subdiffusive processes; Fractional Brownian motion; Option pricing. 1 2 SHOKROLLAHI behaviour from financial markets. We use the same strategy in [11, 15], which the objective time t is replaced by the inverse α-stable subordinator Tα(t) in the FBS model. Then, the dynamic of asset price is given by the following subdiffusive FBS dSα(t) = dS(Tα(t)) = µsS(Tα(t))d(Tα(t)) + σsS(Tα(t))dBH 1 (Tα(t)),(1.1) where µs, σs are constant, BH 1 is FBM with Hurst parameter H ∈ [1 2 , 1) . Tα(t) is the inverse α-stable subordinator with α ∈ (0, 1) defined as follows Tα(t) = inf{τ > 0 : Uα(τ) > t},(1.2) Tα(t) is assumed to be independent of BH 1 . {Uα(t)}t≥0 is a α-stable Levy process with nonnegative increments and Laplace transform: E ( e−uUα(t) ) = e−tu α [5, 17, 7]. when α ↑ 1, the Tα(t) degenerates to t . On the other hand, all above studies have assumed that the short rate is constant during the life of an option. However, in reality the short rate is evolving randomly over time. Hence, in order to take into account the stochastic short rate, we assume that the short rate r(t) = Ŝ(Tα(t)) follows: dŜα(t) = dŜ(Tα(t)) = µrdTα(t) + σrdB H 2 (Tα(t)),(1.3) here µr, σr are constant, BH 2 is FBM with Hurst parameter H ∈ [1 2 , 1) and Tα(t) is assumed to be independent of BH 2 . 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0.99 0.995 1 1.005 1.01 1.015 1.02 1.025 1.03 1.035 t V̂ t 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0.985 0.99 0.995 1 1.005 1.01 1.015 1.02 1.025 1.03 1.035 t S t Figure 1. discrepancy and relation between the sample paths of the stock price in the FBS model (left) and the subdiffusive FBS model (right) for r = 0.01, α = 0.9, H = 0.8, σ = 0.1, S0 = 1. The first contribution of this paper is to propose a valuation model to price a zero-coupon bond by applying the subdiffusive mechanism of the short rate. The FRACTIONAL SHORT RATE 3 second contribution is to value an European option when the asset price and short rate are follow subdiffusive FBS model. This paper is organized as follows. In the next section, we derive a new model to value a riskless zero-coupon bond paying $1 at maturity. In Section 3, we obtain the corresponding FBS equation by using delta hedging argument and discuss some special cases of this equation. In Section 4, we propose a pricing model for the European call and put options. Some particular features and simulation studies of our sudiffusive model are discussed in Section 5. Section 6 concludes this research. 2. Pricing model for a zero-coupon bond We assume that the short rate r(t) satisfy Equation (1.3), α ∈ (1 2 , 1) and 2α− αH > 1, then by using the Taylor series expansion to P (r, t, T ), we obtain P (r + ∆r, t+ ∆t) = P (r, t, T ) + ∂P ∂r ∆r + ∂P ∂t ∆t + 1 2 ∂2P ∂r2 (∆r)2 + + 1 2 ∂2P ∂r∂t ∆r(∆t) + 1 2 ∂2P ∂t2 (∆t)2 +O(∆t).(2.1) From, Equation (1.3) and [17], we have ∆r = µr(∆Tα(t)) + σrB H 1 (Tα(t)) = µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H (∆t)2H + σr∆B H 1 (Tα(t)) +O((∆t)2H).(2.2) (∆r)2 = σ2 r ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H (∆t)2H +O((∆t)2H).(2.3) ∆r(∆t) = O((∆t)2H).(2.4) Then from the Lemma 1 in [17], we can get dP (r, t, T ) = [( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ( µr ∂P ∂r + 1 2 σ2 r ∂2P ∂r2 ) 2Ht2H−1 + ∂P ∂t ] dt +σr ∂P ∂t dBH 1 (Tα(t)).(2.5) Assuming µ = 1 P [( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ( µr ∂P ∂r + 1 2 σ2 r ∂2P ∂r2 ) 2Ht2H−1 + ∂P ∂t ] , σ = 1 P ( ∂P ∂r ) ,(2.6) 4 SHOKROLLAHI and letting the local expectations hypothesis holds for the term structure of interest rates (i.e. µ = r ), we have ∂P ∂t + 2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂P ∂r +Ht2H−1σ2 r ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂2P ∂r2 − rP = 0.(2.7) Then, zero-coupon bond P (r, t, T ) with boundary condition P (r, t, T ) = 1 satisfy the following partial differential equation ∂P ∂t + 2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂P ∂r +Ht2H−1σ2 r ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂2P ∂r2 − rP = 0.(2.8) To solve Equation (2.8) for P (r, t, T ), let τ = T − t, P (r, t, T ) = exp{f1(τ) − rf2(τ)} , then we can get ∂P ∂t = P ( −∂f1(τ) ∂t + r ∂f2(τ) ∂t ) ,(2.9) ∂P ∂r = −Pf2(τ),(2.10) ∂2P ∂r2 = Pf2(τ)2.(2.11) Replacing Equations (2.10) and (2.11) into Equation (2.9) and simplifying Equation (2.8) becomes P [ Ht2H−1σ2 rf2(τ)2 ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H − 2Ht2H−1µrf2(τ) ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H −∂f1(τ) ∂τ + r ( ∂f2(τ) ∂t − 1 )] = 0.(2.12) From Equation (2.12), we obtain ∂f1(τ) ∂τ = Ht2H−1 ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ( σ2 rf2(τ)2 − 2µrf2(τ) ) , ∂f2(τ) ∂τ = 1.(2.13) Then, f1(τ) = Hσ2 r (Γ(α))2H ∫ τ 0 (T − s)(α−1)2H+2H−1s2ds − 2Hµr (Γ(α))2H ∫ τ 0 (T − s)(α−1)2H+2H−1sds,(2.14) f2(τ) = τ.(2.15) Therefore, we derive a pricing model for a riskless zero-coupon bond. P (r, t, T ) = e−rτ+f1(τ).(2.16) FRACTIONAL SHORT RATE 5 Corollary 2.1. When α ↑ 1, Equations (1.3) and (1.1) reduce to the FBM , we obtain f1(τ) = Hσ2 r ∫ τ 0 (T − s)2H−1s2ds− 2Hµr ∫ τ 0 (T − s)2H−1sds,(2.17) specially, if t = 0 f1(τ) = σ2 r T 2H+2 (2H + 1)(2H + 2) − µr T 2H+1 2H + 1 ,(2.18) then P (r, t, T ) = exp { −rT + σ2 r T 2H+2 (2H + 1)(2H + 2) − µr T 2H+1 2H + 1 } .(2.19) Corollary 2.2. If H = 1 2 , from Equation (2.14), we obtain f1(τ) = 1 2 σ2 r Γ(α) ∫ τ 0 (T − s)α−1s2ds − µr Γ(α) ∫ τ 0 (T − s)α−1sds,(2.20) then the result is consistent with the result in [6]. Further, if α ↑ 1 and H = 1 2 , Equations (1.3) and (1.1) reduce to the geometric Brownian motion, then we have f1(τ) = 1 6 σ2 rτ 3 − 1 2 µrτ 2,(2.21) then P (r, t, T ) = e−rτ+ 1 6 σ2 rτ 3− 1 2 µrτ2 .(2.22) which is consistent with the result in [9, 3]. 3. Fractional Black-Scholes equation This section provides corresponding FBS equation for European options when the short rate and stock price satisfy Equations (1.3) and (1.1), respectively, here BH 1 and BH 2 are two dependent FBM with Hurst parameter H ∈ [1 2 , 1) and correlation coefficient ρ . Let C = C(S, r, t) be the price of a European call option at time t with a strike price K that matures at time T . Then we have. Theorem 3.1. Assume that the short rate r(t) and stock price S(t) satisfy Equa- tions (1.3) and (1.1), respectively. Then, C(S, r, t) is the solution the following equation: ∂C ∂t + σ̃2 s(t)S 2∂ 2C ∂S2 + σ̃2 r (t) ∂2C ∂r2 + 2ρσ̃r(t)σ̃s(t) ∂2C ∂S∂r +2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂C ∂r + rS ∂C ∂S − rC = 0,(3.1) 6 SHOKROLLAHI where σ̃2 s(t) = Ht2H−1σ2 s ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ,(3.2) σ̃2 r (t) = Ht2H−1σ2 r ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H .(3.3) σs, σr, µs, µs, are constant, H ∈ [1 2 , 1) and α ∈ (1 2 , 1) and 2α− αH > 1. Proof: We consider a portfolio with D1t units of stock and D2t units of zero- coupon bond P (r, t, T ) and one unit of C = C(r, t, T ). Then, the value of the portfolio at current time t is Πt = C −D1tSt −D2tPt.(3.4) Then, from [6] we have dΠt = Ct −D1tdSt −D2tdPt = [ ∂C ∂t dt+Ht2H−1σ2 sS 2 t ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂2C ∂S2 +Ht2H−1σ2 r ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂2C ∂r2 + 2Ht2H−1ρσrσsS ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂2C ∂S∂r ] dt+ [ ∂C ∂t −D1t ] dSt + [ ∂C ∂r −D2t ∂P ∂r ] dr +D2t [ ∂P ∂t +Ht2H−1σ2 r ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂2P ∂r2 ] dt.(3.5) By setting D1t = ∂C ∂S , D2t = ∂C ∂r ∂P ∂r , to eliminate the stochastic noise, then dΠt = = [ ∂C ∂t +Ht2H−1 ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ( σ2 sS 2∂ 2C ∂S2 + σ2 r ∂2C ∂r2 + 2ρσrσsS ∂2C ∂S∂r )] dt − ∂C ∂r ∂P ∂r [ rP − 2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂P ∂r ] dt.(3.6) The return of an amount Πt invested in bank account is equal to r(t)Πtdt at time dt , E(dΠt) = r(t)Πtdt = r(t) (C −D1tSt −D2tPt), hence from Equation (3.6) we have ∂C ∂t +Ht2H−1 ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ( σ2 sS 2∂ 2C ∂S2 + σ2 r ∂2C ∂r2 + 2ρσrσsS ∂2C ∂S∂r ) +2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂C ∂r + rS ∂C ∂S − rC = 0.(3.7) Let σ̃2 s(t) = Ht2H−1σ2 s ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ,(3.8) σ̃2 r (t) = Ht2H−1σ2 r ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H .(3.9) FRACTIONAL SHORT RATE 7 Then ∂C ∂t + σ̃2 s(t)S 2 t ∂2C ∂S2 t + σ̃2 r (t) ∂2C ∂r2 + 2ρσ̃r(t)σ̃s(t) ∂2C ∂S∂r +2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂C ∂r + rS ∂C ∂S − rC = 0,(3.10) proof is completed. From Theorem (3.1), we can get the following corollaries Corollary 3.1. If ρ = 0 and r(t) be a constant, then the European call option C = C(S, r, T ) satisfies ∂C ∂t +Ht2H−1σ2 sS 2 t ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂2C ∂S2 t + rS ∂C ∂S − rC = 0,(3.11) which is a fractional BS equation considered in [10]. Corollary 3.2. When α ↑ 1, we obtain ∂C ∂t +Ht2H−1σ2 sS 2 t ∂2C ∂S2 t +Ht2H−1σ2 r ∂2C ∂r2 + 2Ht2H−1ρσrσs ∂2C ∂S∂r +2Ht2H−1µr ∂C ∂r + rS ∂C ∂S − rC = 0,(3.12) Further, if ρ = 0, H = 1 2 , and r(t) be a constant, from Equation (3.12) we have the celebrated BS equation ∂C ∂t + 1 2 σ2 sS 2 t ∂2C ∂S2 t + rS ∂C ∂S − rC = 0,(3.13) 4. Pricing formula under subdiffusive fractionalBlack-Scholes model In this section, we propose an explicit formula for European call option when its value satisfies the partial differential equation (3.1) with boundary condition C(S, r, T ) = (ST −K)+ . Then, we can get Theorem 4.1. Let r(t) satisfies Equation (1.3) and S(t) satisfies Equation (1.1), then the price of European call and put options with strike price K and maturity T are given by C(S, r, t) = Sφ(d1)−KP (r, t, T )φ(d2),(4.1) P (S, r, t) = KP (r, t, T )φ(−d2)− φ(−d1).(4.2) where d1 = ln S K − lnP (r, t, T ) + H (Γ(α))2H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s(α−1)2H+2H−1ds √ 2H (Γ(α))2H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s(α−1)2H+2H−1ds ,(4.3) d2 = d1 − √ 2H (Γ(α))2H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s(α−1)2H+2H−1ds,(4.4) σ̂2(t) = σ2 s + 2ρσrσs(T − t) + σ2 r (T − t)2.(4.5) 8 SHOKROLLAHI P (r, t, T ) is given by Equation (2.16) and φ(.) is the cumulative normal distribution function. Proof: Consider the partial differential equation (3.1) of the European call option with boundary condition C(S, r, T ) = (ST −K)+ ∂C ∂t + σ̃2 s(t)S 2 t ∂2C ∂S2 t + σ̃2 r (t) ∂2C ∂r2 + 2ρσ̃r(t)σ̃s(t) ∂2C ∂S∂r +2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂C ∂r + rS ∂C ∂S − rC = 0.(4.6) Denote z = S P (r, t, T ) , Θ(z, t) = C(S, r, t) P (r, t, T ) ,(4.7) therefore by computing, we get ∂C ∂t = Θ ∂P ∂t + P ∂Θ ∂t − z ∂Θ ∂z ∂P ∂t , ∂C ∂r = Θ ∂P ∂r − z ∂Θ ∂z ∂P ∂r , ∂C ∂S = ∂Θ ∂z ,(4.8) ∂2C ∂r2 = Θ ∂2P ∂r2 − z ∂Θ ∂z ∂2P ∂r2 + z2 P ∂2Θ ∂z2 ( ∂P ∂r )2 , ∂2C ∂r∂S = − z P ∂2Θ ∂z2 ∂P ∂r , ∂2C ∂S2 = 1 P ∂2Θ ∂z2 . Inserting Equation (4.8) into Equation (4.6) ∂Θ ∂t + ∂2Θ ∂z2 [ σ̃2 s(t) S2 P 2 + 2ρz2σ̃r(t)σ̃s(t) 1 P ∂P ∂r + σ̃2 r (t)z 2 ( 1 P ∂P ∂r )2 ] − z P [ ∂P ∂t + σ̃2 r (t) ∂2P ∂r2 + 2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂P ∂r − rS z ] + Θ P [ ∂P ∂t + σ̃2 r (t) ∂2P ∂r2 + 2Ht2H−1µr ( tα−1 Γ(α) )2H ∂P ∂r − rP ] = 0.(4.9) From Equation (2.8), we can obtain ∂Θ ∂t + σ2(t)z2∂ 2Θ ∂z2 = 0,(4.10) with boundary condition Θ(z, T ) = (z −K)+ , FRACTIONAL SHORT RATE 9 where σ2(t) = σ̃2 s(t) + 2ρσ̃r(t)σ̃s(t)(T − t) + σ̃r(t) 2(T − t)2.(4.11) The solution of partial differential Equation (4.10) with boundary condition Θ(z, T ) = (z −K)+ , is given by Θ(z, t) = zφ(d̂1)−Kφ(d̂2),(4.12) here d̂1 = ln z K + ∫ T t σ2(s)ds√ 2 ∫ T t σ̂2(s)ds ,(4.13) d̂2 = d̂1 − √ 2 ∫ T t σ2(s)ds.(4.14) Thus, from Equations (4.7) and (4.12)-(4.14) we obtain C(S, r, t) = Sφ(d1)−KP (r, t, T )φ(d2),(4.15) where d1 = ln S K − lnP (r, t, T ) + H (Γ(α))2H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s(α−1)2H+2H−1ds √ 2H (Γ(α))2H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s(α−1)2H+2H−1ds ,(4.16) d2 = d1 − √ 2H (Γ(α))2H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s(α−1)2H+2H−1ds.(4.17) Letting α ↑ 1, from Theorem 4.1, we obtain Corollary 4.1. The price of European call and put options with strike price K and maturity T are given by C(S, r, T ) = Sφ(d1)−KP (r, t, T )φ(d2),(4.18) P (S, r, T ) = KP (r, t, T )φ(−d2)− Sφ(−d1).(4.19) where d1 = ln S K − lnP (r, t, T ) +H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s2H−1ds√ 2H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s2H−1ds ,(4.20) d2 = d1 − √ 2H ∫ T t σ̂2(s)s2H−1ds,(4.21) σ̂2(t) = σ2 s + 2ρσrσs(T − t) + σ2 r (T − t)2,(4.22) P (r, t, T ) = exp { − rτ +Hσ2 r ∫ τ 0 (T − s)2H−1s2ds −2Hµr ∫ τ 0 (T − s)2H−1sds } , τ = T − t.(4.23) 10 SHOKROLLAHI More specifically, if H = 1 2 , we have d1 = ln S K − lnP (r, t, T ) + 1 2ϕ(t, T )√ ϕ(t, T ) ,(4.24) d2 = d1 − √ ϕ(t, T ),(4.25) ϕ(t, T ) = σ2 s(T − t) + ρσrσs(T − t)2 + 1 3 σ2 r (T − t)3,(4.26) P (r, t, T ) = exp { −r(T − t)− 1 2 µr(T − t)2 + 1 6 σ2 r (T − t)3 } .(4.27) which is consistent with result in [3]. Letting H = 1 2 , from Theorem 4.1, we can get Corollary 4.2. The price of European call and put options with strike price K and maturity T are given by C(S, r, T ) = Sφ(d1)−KP (r, t, T )φ(d2),(4.28) P (S, r, T ) = KP (r, t, T )φ(−d2)− φ(−d1).(4.29) where d1 = ln S K − lnP (r, t, T ) + 1 2Γ(α) ∫ T t σ̂2(s)sα−1ds √ 1 Γ(α) ∫ T t σ̂2(s)sα−1ds ,(4.30) d2 = d1 − √ 1 Γ(α) ∫ T t σ̂2(s)sα−1ds,(4.31) σ̂2(t) = σ2 s + 2ρσrσs(T − t) + σ2 r (T − t)2,(4.32) P (r, t, T ) = exp { − rτ + σ2 r 2Γ(α) ∫ τ 0 (T − s)α−1s2ds − µr (Γ(α) ∫ τ 0 (T − s)α−1sds } .(4.33) Specially, If ρ = 0, from Equations (4.28)-(4.33), we have d1 = ln S K − lnP (r, t, T ) + 1 2Γ(α) ∫ T t σ̂2(s)sα−1ds √ 1 Γ(α) ∫ T t σ̂2(s)sα−1ds ,(4.34) d2 = d1 − √ 1 Γ(α) ∫ T t σ̂2(s)sα−1ds,(4.35) σ̂2(t) = σ2 s + σ2 r (T − t)2,(4.36) P (r, t, T ) = exp { − rτ + 1 2 σ2 r Γ(α) ∫ τ 0 (T − s)α−1s2ds − µr Γ(α) ∫ τ 0 (T − s)α−1sds } .(4.37) which is similar with results mentioned in [6]. FRACTIONAL SHORT RATE 11 5. Simulation studies Let us first discuss about the implied volatility of the subdiffusive FBS model, then we will show some simulation findings. Corollary 5.1. If t = 0, the value of European call option C(K,T ) and put option P (K,T ) can be written as C(K,T ) = S0φ(d1)−KP0φ(d2),(5.1) P (K,T ) = KP0φ(−d2)− S0φ(−d1).(5.2) where P0 = exp { − r0T + 2HT (α−1)2H+2H+1 (Γ(α))2H((α− 1)2H + 2H)((α− 1)2H + 2H + 1) × ( σ2 rT (α− 1)2H + 2H + 2 − µr )} (5.3) d1 = ln S0 K + rT + 1 2σ 2T σ √ T ,(5.4) d2 = d1 − σ √ T ,(5.5) r = r0 + 2HT (α−1)2H+2H (Γ(α))2H((α− 1)2H + 2H)((α− 1)2H + 2H + 1) (5.6) × ( µr − σ2 rT (α− 1)2H + 2H + 2 ) , σ2 = 2HT (α−1)2H+2H−1 (Γ(α))2H((α− 1)2H + 2H) ( σ2 s + ρσrσsT (α− 1)2H + 2H + 1 + σ2 rT 2 ((α− 1)2H + 2H + 1)((α− 1)2H + 2H + 2) ) .(5.7) and φ(.) is the cumulative normal distribution function. Table 1 indicates the theoretical prices from our FBS and subdiffusive FBS models and Merton and subdiffusive BS models, where S0 shows the stock price, PM presents the prices evaluated by the Merton model, PSBS denotes the price simulated by the subdiffusive BS model, PFBS and PSFBS show the price obtained by the FBS and subdiffusive FBS models, respectively. 12 SHOKROLLAHI Table 1. Results by different pricing models. Here, α = 0.9, H = 0.6,K = 3, σr = 0.3, σs = 0.4, ρ = 0.4, µr = 0.5, r0 = 0.3, T = 0.3, t = 0. T = 0.2 T = 1 S PM PSBS PFBS PSFBS PM PSBS PFBS PSFBS 2 0.0174 0.0334 0.0012 0.0036 1.8826 1.9129 1.7986 1.8347 2.25 0.0638 0.0979 0.0122 0.0236 2.1326 2.1629 2.0486 2.0847 2.5 0.1598 0.2126 0.0587 0.0859 2.3826 2.4129 2.2986 2.3347 2.75 0.3094 0.3754 0.1687 0.2094 2.6326 2.6629 2.5486 2.5847 3 0.5023 0.5752 0.3440 0.3900 2.8826 2.1929 2.7986 2.8347 3.25 0.7235 0.7988 0.5630 0.6086 3.1326 3.1629 3.0486 3.0847 3.5 0.9604 1.0360 0.8026 0.8466 3.3826 3.4129 3.2986 3.3347 3.75 1.2094 1.2801 1.0498 1.0926 3.6326 3.6629 3.5486 3.5847 4 1.4527 1.5275 1.2991 1.3414 3.8826 3.9129 3.7986 3.8347 By comparing columns PM , PSBS , PFBS and PSFBS in Table 1, we conclude the call option prices obtained by four pricing models are close to each other in the both in-the-money and out-of-the-money cases with low and high maturities. Meanwhile, we can see that the prices given by the our FBS and subdiffusive FBS models are smaller than the prices given by the Merton and subdiffusive Merton models [3, 6]. 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 T K D if fe re n c e Figure 2. The European call option under subdiffusive FBS . Where r0 = 0.1, α = 0.9, H = 0.8, σr = 0.3, σs = 0.4, S0 = 3, µr = 0.2, ρ = 0.2. FRACTIONAL SHORT RATE 13 0 5 0.1 0.2 4.5 0.3 14 0.4 0.9 0.5 D if fe re n c e 3.5 0.8 0.6 K 3 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.6 T 2.5 0.9 0.5 2 0.4 0.3 1.5 0.2 1 0.1 Subdiffusive FBS versus subdiffusive BS Subdiffusive FBS versus Merton Figure 3. The difference between the price of the European call option under subdiffusive FBS , subdiffusive Merton and Merton models. Where r0 = 0.1, α = 0.9, H = 0.8, σr = 0.3, σs = 0.4, S0 = 3, µr = 0.2, t = 0, ρ = 0.3. 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 α O p ti o n V a lu e H=0.6 H=0.7 H=0.8 Figure 4. The European call option under subdiffusive FBS . Where r0 = 0.3, σr = 0.1, σs = 0.3, S0 = 4, µr = 0.2, ρ = 0.2, t = 0, T = 0.2. From Equations (5.1)-(5.7), it is easy to see that σ and r is the implied volatility and implied short rate connected to the FBS model, respectively (See Fig 2, 3 and 4 ). 6. Conclusion Most of prior pricing models have assumed the constant short rate during the life of an option. However, in real life the short rate is evolving randomly through time. For this purpose, we apply the subdiffusive mechanism to get better characteristic 14 SHOKROLLAHI property of stock markets. We propose a pricing model for a zero-coupon bond when the short rate is governed by the subdiffusive fractional Black-Scholes model. Then, we exert these results to develop analytical valuation formulas for European option and corresponding fractional Black-Scholes equation. We allow to referees to evaluate our manuscript. References [1] F. Black and M. 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